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Nate B. Jones December 21, 2025

Is OpenAI a Bubble? Here's the 2026 Test (Unit Economics + Compute + Enterprise Proof)

Summary

The main theme is a strategic re-evaluation of OpenAI's approach beyond just having the best device, particularly in the context of a multimodel AI stack. Key subjects include AI as "delegation engines" for enterprises and OpenAI's internal constraints balancing consumer engagement with enterprise needs, drawing an analogy to an airline managing scarce inventory. The practical takeaway is to understand OpenAI's tradeoffs by viewing their strategy through the lens of managing compute scarcity for different user segments.

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